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Larry Swing is the President of the popular day and swing trading site www.mrswing.com a place where you can find free daily articles and videos covering education, market analysis and picks from Larry and other well known traders in the industry.
May 6, 2008
- The European DJ Stoxx 50 index this morning is trading with a moderately large loss of -0.85%...
Overnight Global News
The European DJ Stoxx 50 index
this morning is trading with a moderately large loss of -0.85%.
European stocks are being hurt by the financial sector with UBS down
-5% and with Swiss Re falling on news of 53% lower profit. UBS is down
-5% in European trading after news that clients pulled out $12 billion
in Q1 and after the bank said it expects "tough business conditions" to
continue. UBS also announced it will cut 7% of its workforce (5,500
jobs).
Asia-Pacific stocks today closed mixed: Hong Kong +0.30%,
China -1.11%, Taiwan +0.23%, Australia +0.02%, Singapore +0.02%, South
Korea +0.57%, Bombay -0.67%.
Overnight U.S. Stock News
June S&Ps this morning
are trading -4.40 points today on lower European stocks and on
nervousness ahead of today's raft of earnings reports. The US stock
market yesterday closed with moderate losses (Dow -0.68%, S&P 500
-0.45%, Nasdaq Composite -0.52%).
Bearish factors for
stock prices yesterday included (1) the 15% drop in Yahoo after
Microsoft abandoned its $50 billion bid for the company and as
Citigroup downgraded Yahoo to a "sell," (2) the 2.7% drop in Berkshire
Hathaway as Warren Buffet's company said Q1 operating earnings were
$1,247 a share, below analysts estimates of $1,430 as falling rates cut
returns from the company's insurance operations and the firm marked
down the value of derivative contracts, (3) the 8.9% drop in Ambac as
Warren Buffet said the world's second-largest bond insurer may not
deserve its AAA credit rating, and (4) the over $3 a barrel surge in
crude oil to another record high.
Bullish factors for
stock prices yesterday included (1) the unexpected strength seen in the
Apr ISM non-manufacturing index, (2) the 11% gain in Sprint Nextel as
the third-biggest US mobile telephone carrier may be taken over by
Deutsche Telecom, according to a German newspaper, (3) the 2.3% gain in
Google after Microsoft pulled its bid for Yahoo, and (4) the 9.4% rally
in Marvel Entertainment as the movie and comic book producer increased
its 2008 EPS to $1.35 to $1.55 on sales of $370 to $400 million from
$1.30 to $1.50 on revenue of $360 to $400 million.
Target rallied 1.4% in after-hours trading yesterday after news that
JPMorgan Chase will buy 47% of Target's credit-card loans for $3.6
billion, which will give Target extra cash to fund its capital
investment and stock buyback plans.
Cisco is slightly lower by -0.1% in European trading this morning ahead of Cisco's earnings report today.
Merck (MRK) rallied +0.3% in after-hours trading yesterday after
announcing that it will cut 1,200 sales jobs in the US as part of a
cost-cutting plan.
El Paso (EP) rallied 3% in
after-hours trading yesterday a report that it found oil in an offshore
field off the coast near Bahia, Brazil.
Navistar (NAVZ)
may receive a boost today after news that the truckmaker received a
$1.28 billion contract to build Army military vehicles.
Today's U.S. Market Focus
June 10-year T-notes this morning are trading -2 ticks. June T-notes
yesterday traded on either side of unchanged before closing up +3.5
ticks. Bullish factors for T-note prices yesterday included (1) the
fall in the stock market which induced flight-to-quality buying of
Treasuries, (2) the Fed's quarterly loan survey which showed the credit
crunch has deepened as the net amount of US domestic banks reporting
tighter lending standards rose to near "historical highs," and (3)
carryover support from the European debt markets which rallied after
May Euro-Zone Sentix investor confidence came in weaker than expected.
Bearish factors for T-note prices yesterday included (1) the unexpected
gain in the Apr ISM non-manufacturing index (+2.4 to 52.0 versus
expectations of -0.5 to 49.1), (2) supply pressures ahead of this
week's $21 billion in 10-year T-notes and 30-year T-bonds to be
auctioned for the May refunding, and (2) inflation concerns with the
rally in crude-oil to a record high.
The dollar is
trading slightly lower today with the dollar/yen down -0.02 yen and the
euro/dollar up +0.09 cents. The dollar index yesterday closed lower.
Bearish factors for the dollar yesterday included (1) speculation that
the ECB will keep interest rates at a 6-year high policy makers meet
this Thursday, (2) comments from ECB President Trichet who said that
the risk of inflation is "significant," strengthening the euro, and (3)
the comment from former Fed Chairman Greenspan that the US has slipped
into an "awfully pale recession" and may continue to languish for the
rest of the year. Bullish factors for the dollar yesterday include (1)
the unexpected rise in the US Apr ISM non-manufacturing index, and (2)
the weaker than expected May Euro-Zone Sentix investor confidence.
June crude oil prices this morning are trading -34 cents a barrel and
June gasoline is trading -0.69 cents a gallon on some technical selling
after yesterday's sharp advances. June crude oil prices yesterday
rallied sharply and closed up +$3.65 a barrel and June gasoline closed
+8.650 cents a gallon. June crude oil yesterday posted an all-time high
of $120.36 per barrel. Bullish factors for crude oil prices yesterday
included (1) the unexpected rise in the US Apr ISM non-manufacturing
index, which reduced recession concerns, (2) the weekend militant
attacks on a Royal Dutch Shell oil-transfer facility in Nigeria,
forcing the company to halt 170,000 bbl a day of crude oil exports, and
(3) the weak dollar. Expectations for tomorrow's DOE inventory report
are for a +2.1 mln bbl rise in crude oil inventories, a +250,000 bbl
gain in gasoline stockpiles, a +1.0 mln bbl rise in distillate
inventories and a +0.7 rise in the the refinery capacity rate to 86.1%
Today's U.S. Earnings Reports
Earnings
reports (confirmed releases for companies with market caps above $10.0
bln listed by mkt cap): CSCO-Cisco Systems (BEST earnings consensus
$0.36 per share), DIS-Disney (.51), EMR-Emerson Electric (.71),
FNM-Fannie Mae (-.64), COV-Covidian (.58), PEG-Public Service
Enterprise Group (.75), NYX-NYSE Euronext (.82), PCP-Precision
Castparts (1.89), SE-Spectra Energy (.46), VNO-Vornado Realty Trust
(1.60), PCG-PG&E (.66), MGM-MGM Mirage (.44), PRGO-Perrigo (.41),
UPL-Ultra Petroleum (.58), SLE-Sara Lee (.24), TAP-Molson Coors (.28),
Q-Quest Communications (.10), LM-Legg Mason (-.38), EL-Estee Lauder
(.47), PBI-Pitney Bowes (.64), RRD-RR Donnelley (.69), VTR-Ventas
(.17), ACAS-American Capital Strategies (.77), XEC-Cimarex Energy
(1.55), HSIC-Henry Schein (.55), REG-Regency Centers (.38), DHI-Dr
Horton (.06)
Global Financial Calendar
Tuesday 5/6/2008
United States
0745 ET
ICSC (International Council of Shopping Centers) weekly retailer sales, previous +0.9% w/w and +1.9% weekly y/y.
...thanks
for the trust you've shown in me and my business.
by Larry Swing larry@mrswing.com May the swing be with you...
P.S.- Oh
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that I know of, and have their trade signals automatically traded in a special
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not just any other systems, they are by far, the most accurate and safe that
I've ever featured on MrSwing. Go
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Disclaimer:
Please note
that charts and commentary provided by the moderator are for educational
purposes only. Any trades placed upon reliance on the moderator’s
charts or information is taken at your own risk for your own account.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. While there is great
potential for reward trading stocks, futures and options, there is also
substantial risk of loss and you must decide your own suitability to trade.
Future trading results can never be guaranteed. This is not an offer to
buy or sell stock, futures, options or commodity interests.
Most trading
systems are based on historical formulas which have worked in the past.
However, what has happened before may or may not happen again. You can
lose all your money trading stocks, futures, and options and you must
decide your own suitability as to whether or not to trade. Only trade
with true risk capital you can afford to lose. Only trade markets you
can properly afford to trade. Properly funded trading accounts typically
perform better than those that are not. Never risk more than 2-3% of your
account on any one trade. Always define your risk before entering a trade
and place a stop to limit your risk.
There are
no guarantees or certainties in trading. Trading involves hard work, risk,
discipline and the ability to follow rules and trade through any tough
periods during a system’s draw downs. If you are looking for a guarantee,
trading is probably not for you. Most people lose money trading. One of
the reasons is that they lack discipline and are unable to be consistent.
A system can help you become consistent. Ironically, worrying about the
monetary aspect of trading can contribute to and cause a trader to make
trading errors. Therefore, it is important to only trade with true risk
capital.