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Bank Concerns Back In The Headlines

best of financial blogs online trading

Jordan Kahn, CFA

Jordan Kahn, CFA of In The Money

Mar 26, 2008

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There are lots of crosscurrents this morning, but the negative bank headlines are back in the news today, and weighing on financial stocks.

Last night, rumors swirled that the Clear Channel (CCU) deal may be in jeopardy. Then, early this morning, Deutsche Bank (DB) said that it may not meet its full year profit projections. No shocker there, but that knocked the futures lower and set a negative tone for the morning.

insert.a.chart.CCU

Oppenheimer analyst Meredith Whitney cut estimates again for the big 4 banks (Citi, BofA, JPM, etc), and that sparked some additional selling in the bank stocks.

Jabil (JBL) warned about its profits also, and the stock is down significantly. JBL is heavily involved in tech supply chain, so its comments hit tech stocks and took most of them lower. But the RAG triumvirate (RIMM, AAPL, GOOG) are bucking the weakness and are all higher this morning.

Asia was mixed overnight, while the Yen is higher again today. The dollar is lower, which is also pushing up gold and commodities again. Oil is surging over $3 to $104.50 on a report that inventories didn't expand as expected. This is pushing energy stocks higher.

And a disappointing durable goods report is hitting bond yields, with the 10-year yield slipping to 3.46%.

After the big run the market has had, it is normal to have a pullback day. The put/call ratio is high at 1.27, which could help things stabilize. I don't mind some profit taking, but I don't want to see things get out of hand today. A benign consolidation day on moderate volume would be perfect.

long AAPL, GOOG

by Jordan Kahn, CFA (In The Money )

Disclaimer:

Please note that charts and commentary provided by the moderator are for educational purposes only. Any trades placed upon reliance on the moderator’s charts or information is taken at your own risk for your own account. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. While there is great potential for reward trading stocks, futures and options, there is also substantial risk of loss and you must decide your own suitability to trade. Future trading results can never be guaranteed. This is not an offer to buy or sell stock, futures, options or commodity interests.

Most trading systems are based on historical formulas which have worked in the past. However, what has happened before may or may not happen again. You can lose all your money trading stocks, futures, and options and you must decide your own suitability as to whether or not to trade. Only trade with true risk capital you can afford to lose. Only trade markets you can properly afford to trade. Properly funded trading accounts typically perform better than those that are not. Never risk more than 2-3% of your account on any one trade. Always define your risk before entering a trade and place a stop to limit your risk.

There are no guarantees or certainties in trading. Trading involves hard work, risk, discipline and the ability to follow rules and trade through any tough periods during a system’s draw downs. If you are looking for a guarantee, trading is probably not for you. Most people lose money trading. One of the reasons is that they lack discipline and are unable to be consistent. A system can help you become consistent. Ironically, worrying about the monetary aspect of trading can contribute to and cause a trader to make trading errors. Therefore, it is important to only trade with true risk capital.


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