Swing Trading with Larry Swing
your #1 site for FREE swing & day trading content

Trade like a Pro with FutureSwings...
HOME
MESSENGER
ARTICLES
STOCK
CHARTS
FORUM
SWINGTRACKER
AutoTrade
FUTURESWINGS

Support
Contact
Larry Swing | Larry Swing on SwingTracker |  John Carter TTM  | Joseph Ford  | Todd Brown | Ken Matsumoto  | Tim Knight
BUY? SELL? HOLD?     Get Your FREE Instant Trend Analysis
New To MrSwing?

Getting Started
Recommended Reading

Free Services
Trading Articles
Discussion Forum
Messenger
Stock Charts
Technical Analysis
Indicators
Oscillators
ChartTypes
FutureSwings

Current FutureSwings Signals

Recommended
Trading Software

Stock Scan Screener
30-Day FREE Trial
+SwingLab

About MrSwing

WhoIsMrSwing
Advertise on MrSwing
Testimonials
SiteMap...
Become an Affiliate
Contact - Support
Syndicate our
blog.mrswing.com

Links
Privacy Policy

FREE Members Newsletter Get instant access to my #1-Rated Swing and Day Trading Newsletter For FREE and MORE by typing in your Name and Primary Email below:

First Name:
Last Name:
Email:


Privacy Policy: *Your name and e-mail will NEVER be sold - we hate spam as much as you do. You can unsubscribe from our e-mails at ANY TIME. Your selections look every bit as good if not better than subcriptions sites that charge up to $100/month... Paul Bondy, USA I should be paying you! Paul J. Krupin, USA

more swing trading testimonials


Zhongpin (HOGS) Reports Earnings

best of financial blogs online trading

Trader Mark

Trader Mark of Fund my Mutual Fund

May 12, 2008

email to a friend Email this article to a Friend
 Printer friendly page


Missed the fact that Zhongpin (HOGS) was reporting today; looks like a small beat and more importantly their major business metrics continue to improve. Share count unfortunately is up 50% year over year, diluting some of the gains away. Since this is the smallest company in the portfolio by a mile, I really like to delve into the earnings report even more so than larger companies whose quarter to quarter performance is not nearly that important to me, as it is to the lemmings than dominate Wall Street.

insert.a.chart.HOGS

  • Revenues for the first quarter of 2008 increased for the tenth consecutive quarter to a record $108.7 million, up 94.9% from $55.8 million in the first quarter of 2007. Approximately 20% of the increase was from increased sales volume and the other approximately 80% was from higher average selling prices.
  • Operating income for the quarter was $7.8 million, up 67.8% from $4.6 million for the comparable prior year period.
  • Net income increased to a record $7.3 million, up 81.8% from net income of $4.0 million in the first quarter of 2007.
  • Fully-diluted earnings per share for the quarter were $0.24, compared with fully-diluted earnings per share of $0.19 for the first quarter 2007.
  • Weighted average fully-diluted outstanding shares for the first quarter of 2008 were 30,748,961, compared to weighted average fully-diluted outstanding shares of 20,982,304 in the first quarter of 2007.
  • Zhongpin's strong revenue growth in the first quarter of 2008 was the result of increased prices for pork and pork products combined with increased sales to food service distributors and to restaurants and non-commercial customers.
  • According to the Ministry of Agriculture of the PRC, the average pork price in the first quarter of 2008 increased 74.2% from the same period one year ago. (agflation!)
  • For the quarter, chilled pork and frozen pork represented 50.7% and 36.9% of total revenue, compared to 51.0% and 36.4% in the same period of 2007, respectively.
By retail channel
  • Revenue from Zhongpin's retail channels, including showcase stores, network stores and supermarket counters, represented 41.2% of total revenues. Revenue from retail channels rose 71.6% to $44.8 million, from $26.1 million in the first quarter of 2007. During the quarter, Zhongpin added seven new retail outlets, including one new showcase store, two new Zhongpin ''branded'' stores and four new supermarket counters, for a total of 2,946 retail outlets. Revenue from restaurants and non-commercial businesses represented 31.3% of total revenues in the quarter, up 138.0% to $34.0 million from $14.3 million in the same period a year ago. Food services distributors generated 25.4% of total revenues and showed the largest increase in revenue growth year-over- year, up 161.8% to $27.6 million from $10.6 million in the first quarter of 2007.
Gross margin
  • Gross profit in the first quarter of 2008 was a record $14.2 million, up 83.3% from $7.7 million in the first quarter of 2007. Gross margin was 13.1% in the first quarter of 2008 compared to 13.9% in the first quarter of 2007. The year-over-year decline in gross margin was attributed to hog prices rising faster than the prices of pork products.
  • Sequentially, gross margin increased 1.3 percentage points from 11.8% in the fourth quarter of 2007, due to stronger demand for pork consumption which was favorably influenced by the Chinese New Year holidays.
Expenses
  • In the first quarter of 2008, general and administrative (''G&A'') expenses were $4.4 million, or 4.1% of total revenues, compared to $2.0 million, or 3.5 % of total revenues, for the same quarter last year. The significant increase of G&A expenses was primarily the result of increased expenses for compensation, advertising, training, amortization and depreciation.
Guidance
  • Zhongpin plans to continue to expand its production capacity through both new facility construction and acquisitions. The Company is ahead of schedule in the construction of its western Henan Province facility in Luoyang City which is now expected to begin operations by the end of the second quarter of 2008. Zhongpin's eastern Henan Province facility in Shangqiu City is expected to begin operations in the fourth quarter of 2008. This is slightly behind schedule due to the delay of a waste water treatment facility to be built by local government outside of our facility. The new western and eastern facilities will add 70,000 metric tons and 80,000 metric tons annual capacity, respectively, of chilled and frozen pork. Once these facilities are completed, Zhongpin will have total capacity of 471,560 metric tons of chilled and frozen pork, excluding outsourcing from OEMs.
  • In March 2008, Zhongpin began construction of a new prepared meat facility at Zhongpin's Industrial Park located in Changge City, Henan Province. The new facility will add 28,800 metric tons in annual capacity of prepared meat for a 114% increase over Zhongpin's current capacity of 25,200 metric tons, bringing total capacity of prepared meat to 54,000 metric tons. The facility is expected to begin production in September 2008.
  • Based on its current expansion plans and its financial results in the first quarter, Zhongpin is confident it will meet its guidance for full year 2008 revenues in the range of $490 million and $520 million, gross margin between 12.6% and 13.0% and net income of between $30 million and $33 million, or between $0.98 and $ $1.07 per share, assuming a fully diluted share count of 30.7 million shares outstanding.

by Trader Mark (Fund my Mutual Fund)

Disclaimer:

Please note that charts and commentary provided by the moderator are for educational purposes only. Any trades placed upon reliance on the moderator’s charts or information is taken at your own risk for your own account. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. While there is great potential for reward trading stocks, futures and options, there is also substantial risk of loss and you must decide your own suitability to trade. Future trading results can never be guaranteed. This is not an offer to buy or sell stock, futures, options or commodity interests.

Most trading systems are based on historical formulas which have worked in the past. However, what has happened before may or may not happen again. You can lose all your money trading stocks, futures, and options and you must decide your own suitability as to whether or not to trade. Only trade with true risk capital you can afford to lose. Only trade markets you can properly afford to trade. Properly funded trading accounts typically perform better than those that are not. Never risk more than 2-3% of your account on any one trade. Always define your risk before entering a trade and place a stop to limit your risk.

There are no guarantees or certainties in trading. Trading involves hard work, risk, discipline and the ability to follow rules and trade through any tough periods during a system’s draw downs. If you are looking for a guarantee, trading is probably not for you. Most people lose money trading. One of the reasons is that they lack discipline and are unable to be consistent. A system can help you become consistent. Ironically, worrying about the monetary aspect of trading can contribute to and cause a trader to make trading errors. Therefore, it is important to only trade with true risk capital.

Free Trend Analysis

BUY? SELL? HOLD?

Find out now.
Click here for free trend analysis


Click Here!

Click Here!
 


Click Here!