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"The global financial outlook grows more dire by the day: The United States has been forced to shore up Wall Street, and European governments are bailing out numerous commercial banks. Even more alarmingly, the government of Iceland is presiding over a massive default by all the country's major banks. This troubling development points not only to an even more painful recession than anticipated, but also to the urgent need for international coordination to avoid something worse: all-out financial warfare."
"Declining C Waves are usually devastating in their destruction. They are third waves and have most of the properties of third waves. It is during these declines that there is virtually no place to hide except cash. The illusions held throughout waves A and B tend to evaporate and fear takes over. C waves are persistent and broad. 1930-32 was a C wave. 1962 was a C wave. 1969-70 and 1973-74 can be classified as C waves."
Remember that this C wave is one fractal higher then any of the C waves described above. Meaning that my all standards of measurement, it will be a degree higher, i.e. worse point decline, worse percentage decline, worse log scale decline, it fact, it should be the worse decline in the lifetime of any market participant, since the last decline of this magnitude was in the 19th Century. Keep in mind that the stock market races ahead of the underlying fundamentals by at least six months. Thus the worse news stories, much worst then what is linked above appearing in today's Washington Post, are still down the road. Also down the road, sadly, is something that accompanies virtually all bear market bottoms: Another war.
The market does not travel in a straight line. There will be rallies within the confines of the wave C structure. They will be sharp (like the 1000 point rally in the DJI last Friday), but fleeting. All of them, every one, to be followed by new lows.
All probabilities favor the downside, until further notice.
Please note
that charts and commentary provided by the moderator are for educational
purposes only. Any trades placed upon reliance on the moderator’s
charts or information is taken at your own risk for your own account.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. While there is great
potential for reward trading stocks, futures and options, there is also
substantial risk of loss and you must decide your own suitability to trade.
Future trading results can never be guaranteed. This is not an offer to
buy or sell stock, futures, options or commodity interests.
Most trading
systems are based on historical formulas which have worked in the past.
However, what has happened before may or may not happen again. You can
lose all your money trading stocks, futures, and options and you must
decide your own suitability as to whether or not to trade. Only trade
with true risk capital you can afford to lose. Only trade markets you
can properly afford to trade. Properly funded trading accounts typically
perform better than those that are not. Never risk more than 2-3% of your
account on any one trade. Always define your risk before entering a trade
and place a stop to limit your risk.
There are
no guarantees or certainties in trading. Trading involves hard work, risk,
discipline and the ability to follow rules and trade through any tough
periods during a system’s draw downs. If you are looking for a guarantee,
trading is probably not for you. Most people lose money trading. One of
the reasons is that they lack discipline and are unable to be consistent.
A system can help you become consistent. Ironically, worrying about the
monetary aspect of trading can contribute to and cause a trader to make
trading errors. Therefore, it is important to only trade with true risk
capital.
