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Gigamedia keeps rocking
As one of my favorite growth stocks it is nice to see Gigamedia (GIGM: 19.41 +0.15 +0.78%) hitting on all cylinders. The company released 1st quarter of 2008 results yesterday and the growth continues at a great rate. GIGM is managing to rapidly grow its existing platforms and at the same time enter new markets with new products with even greater growth potential. I will break down some of the facts and financial highlights here. You can think of Gigamedia’s business as two business units. The first is what they refer to as gaming software. This unit consist of the company’s flagship Everest Poker (internet poker) and online casino games. New initiatives by the company are working to cross sell between poker and casino games. Even bigger, GIGM is planning to offer sports betting to its gaming software line. They have also signed a multi-year sponsorship agreement with the World Series of Poker. As the unit stand now they are showing some excellent growth numbers: The second unit is referenced as Asian online gaming. This unit offers a combination of video games and Asian style real money games in Hong Kong, Taiwan, China and Japan. Gigamedia’s push into Asian online games is fairly new, so revenues are are small compared to gaming software but growing rapidly. Asian online game revenues grew greater than 100% YoY and 28% over Q4, 2007. This growth is without adding any new games in Q1. Q2, Q3 and Q4 will see the company add some new, high demand games from companies like Electronic Arts that should accelerate revenue growth. Finally, the commercial launch of the Japanese real money games will occur in June. Another potential huge revenue stream. For the first quarter the Asian gaming had an operating margin of 28%. Not to forget earnings: GIGM earned 20¢ in the first quarter, up 43% from Q1, 2007. Analysts (4 of them) are projecting 80¢ earnings for 2008. My little calculator comes up with 93¢ if earnings grow at 10% per quarter. I think Gigamedia can grow revenues and earnings at 50%+++ for years and currently trades at 27 times the last 4 quarters combined earnings. Some days I think I should sell everything else and just own GIGM. I think the $1 billion market cap company will be $5 billion then $10 billion in a very short period of time. The company has virtually an unlimited market for its products and very low additional cost to add customers, games and revenues. I will probably not put everything into GIGM but will keep a nice portion of my stock portfolio and this site’s Special Situations Portfolio. by Tim Plaehn (Investing Thoughts) Disclaimer: Please note that charts and commentary provided by the moderator are for educational purposes only. Any trades placed upon reliance on the moderator’s charts or information is taken at your own risk for your own account. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. While there is great potential for reward trading stocks, futures and options, there is also substantial risk of loss and you must decide your own suitability to trade. Future trading results can never be guaranteed. This is not an offer to buy or sell stock, futures, options or commodity interests. Most trading systems are based on historical formulas which have worked in the past. However, what has happened before may or may not happen again. You can lose all your money trading stocks, futures, and options and you must decide your own suitability as to whether or not to trade. Only trade with true risk capital you can afford to lose. Only trade markets you can properly afford to trade. Properly funded trading accounts typically perform better than those that are not. Never risk more than 2-3% of your account on any one trade. Always define your risk before entering a trade and place a stop to limit your risk. There are no guarantees or certainties in trading. Trading involves hard work, risk, discipline and the ability to follow rules and trade through any tough periods during a system’s draw downs. If you are looking for a guarantee, trading is probably not for you. Most people lose money trading. One of the reasons is that they lack discipline and are unable to be consistent. A system can help you become consistent. Ironically, worrying about the monetary aspect of trading can contribute to and cause a trader to make trading errors. Therefore, it is important to only trade with true risk capital. |
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