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Freddie and Fannie to Buy $40 Billion a Month in Toxic Sub-prime and Alt-A Mortgages.

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Mybudget360

Mybudget360 of MyBudget360

Oct 12, 2008

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This is actually breaking news that has the potential to really destroy the U.S. taxpayer.  There is a report out by Bloomberg and now being reported by CBS MarkeWatch that Federal regulators are going to order Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to start buying $40 billion a month in troubled mortgages each month.  Keep in mind this is money on top of the $700 billion that is allocated in the bailout package just singed a few days ago:

“SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) — Federal regulators have ordered Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to start buying $40 billion of troubled mortgage bonds each month as the U.S. government tries to revive the economy, according to a published report.

The purchases would be separate from the U.S. Treasury’s $700 billion bailout plan, which was signed into law earlier this month, Bloomberg noted.

Fannie and Freddie were taken over by the U.S. government in early September, in the first of several bailouts the government has launched recently to try to halt the spread of the mortgage-fueled credit crisis.

Regulators initially restricted Fannie and Freddie’s growth when they seized control. To “promote stability” and lower mortgage costs to borrowers, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said the two companies would be allowed to “modestly increase” their mortgage portfolios to as much as $1.7 trillion through the end of next year and said they would no longer be run “to maximize shareholder returns.”

Now the reason this is a big deal if it does come to fruition is that it will essentially be a taxpayer bailout with zero oversight.  Through this year, each additional piece of legislation and policy action has led to less and less oversight and more and more reckless behavior.  Take a look:

-July 2008 - with the authorization of nearly $300 billion with the FHA legislation was passed that would allow troubled mortgages to be purchased by the government following these restrictions:  The lender would take a 90% haircut on the CURRENT appraised value of the home.  In addition, they would need a 5% one time fee.  This didn’t work out too well since even these modest restrictions would push many toxic irresponsible lenders into failing.

-September 2008 - Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac bailed out.  Approximate cost will run us up to $200 billion.
-October 2008 - $700 billion bailout package via the TARP that gives the government authority to purchase toxic mortgage with only vague wording and no guidance on how they will value the assets.

-October 2008 (today) - rumor that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac each will buy toxic mortgages in subprime and Alt-A non-performing loans from lenders.  This is the absolute worst possible scenario for the American taxpayer.  It would be the most expensive program with the littlest bang for the buck.  All that will be done here is buying mortgages from toxic lenders and does little for households.  If the government pays face value, this will be a mess.  If then the government needs to cut the loan of the borrower down, it will be a double whammy.  First, over paying for the note then helping the home owner.  This is essentially what Senator McCain was pushing with bi-partisan rejection since it does nothing for stabilizing the market aside from a brief respite for toxic mortgage sellers.  They need to fail on their own.  This simply frees up their books.

I’m hoping this is simply a rumor.  If this is true, then this is on the level of the $700 billion bailout bill.  I’m surprised few people are reporting this.

by Mybudget360 (MyBudget360)

Disclaimer:

Please note that charts and commentary provided by the moderator are for educational purposes only. Any trades placed upon reliance on the moderator’s charts or information is taken at your own risk for your own account. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. While there is great potential for reward trading stocks, futures and options, there is also substantial risk of loss and you must decide your own suitability to trade. Future trading results can never be guaranteed. This is not an offer to buy or sell stock, futures, options or commodity interests.

Most trading systems are based on historical formulas which have worked in the past. However, what has happened before may or may not happen again. You can lose all your money trading stocks, futures, and options and you must decide your own suitability as to whether or not to trade. Only trade with true risk capital you can afford to lose. Only trade markets you can properly afford to trade. Properly funded trading accounts typically perform better than those that are not. Never risk more than 2-3% of your account on any one trade. Always define your risk before entering a trade and place a stop to limit your risk.

There are no guarantees or certainties in trading. Trading involves hard work, risk, discipline and the ability to follow rules and trade through any tough periods during a system’s draw downs. If you are looking for a guarantee, trading is probably not for you. Most people lose money trading. One of the reasons is that they lack discipline and are unable to be consistent. A system can help you become consistent. Ironically, worrying about the monetary aspect of trading can contribute to and cause a trader to make trading errors. Therefore, it is important to only trade with true risk capital.

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