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Are we importing inflation?
Apr 16, 2008 - The USA CPI figures were not as high as projected going into the announcement, but the sting was in the tail. The Year on Year CPI rose to 4% from 2.6% and is likely to move higher next month.
Traders the comments
below are from SOLO in our live Training Room…
The USA CPI figures
were not as high as projected ( by Bloomberg ) going into the
announcement. But the sting was in the tail. The Year on Year CPI rose to
4% from 2.6% and is likely to move higher next month.
If you have a Balance
of Trade Deficit and a weak currency by definition you are importing
inflation. If the Chinese continue to revalue their currency
upwards ( against the
My understanding of
the G7 was that at some stage there will be a concerted effort to
TURN the $ around. The question for FX Traders is when?
1. European Interest
Rates will have to be at or below USA interest rates ( and today’s European
inflation figures make an ECB rate cut unlikely) - or else the market
will just arbitrage any intervention.
2. The Hedge Funds (and
Banks) will have to have their " wings clipped" so that they
cannot fight intervention in a meaningful way.
IT IS COMING - IT
ALWAYS HAS DONE !!
HOW CAN WE MAKE MONEY
OUT OF ALL THIS
In my opinion we are
going to see higher
1. The Treasury needs
money to fund the Budget Deficit.
2. The Banks need
money to get out of the FED'S grips.
3. Industry needs
money and is finding it increasing difficult to get it from Banks.
4. Mortgages need to
be refinanced.
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