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MCTS MARKETS COMMENTARY for 10/2/06 trading session!

Swing Trading - MCTS MARKETS COMMENTARY for 10/2/06 trading session!

larry swing

visit FutureSwings
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FutureSwings ® by Larry Swing

Larry Swing is the President of the popular day and swing trading site www.mrswing.com a place where you can find free daily articles and videos covering education, market analysis and picks from Larry and other well known traders in the industry.

Daily Trade Signals for All Major Markets
      
incl. Currencies, Forex, Energies, Financials, Grains, Indices, Metals, Softs
Daily Trading Signals

Up Trend
Down Trend
No Trend

Daily P/L Tracking for Active Signals
Documented Track Record
2003(+237.3%) - 2004(+120.3%) - 2005(+42.7%) - 2006(+86.9%) - 2007(+32.67% YTD)


Sep 30, 2006 - Signals are generated trading one FUTURES contract based on closing prices and daily statistics.

Duration is ONE to NINE WEEKS! All signals are entered Market On Close (MOC) or Stop Close Only (SCO).

Not all markets accept SCO or MOC orders, all orders are to be entered at market in such circumstances.

 
Closing prices for 9/29/06
 
 
 
DEC EUROCURRENCY CLOSED AT 127.39
 
The trend is down as of 9/27/06 and SHORT SINCE 127.63 MOC.

The down trend ends above 127.82 SCO BUY STOP LOSS.

The 18 day moving average at 127.80 offers INTERMEDIATE SUPPORT and

with NEGATIVE  stochastics, FURTHER LOWER PRICES ARE POSSIBLE.

A close below 126.92 is negative and FURTHER LOWER PRICES ARE POSSIBLE.

A close above 128.34 is positive and WEEKLY CONFIRMATION OF A BOTTOM.


 
DEC CRUDE OIL CLOSED AT 64.13
 
The trend is up as of 9/28/06 and LONG SINCE 63.47 MOC.

The up trend ends below 62.78 SCO SELL STOP LOSS.

The 18 day moving average at 64.86 offers INTERMEDIATE RESISTANCE and

with POSITIVE stochastics, FURTHER HIGHER PRICES ARE POSSIBLE.

A close below 60.58 is negative and WEEKLY CONFIRMATION OF A TOP.

A close above 64.95 is positive and FURTHER HIGHER PRICES ARE POSSIBLE.
 
 
 
DEC TEN YEAR T - NOTE CLOSED AT 108.020
 
The trend is up as of 9/20/06 and LONG SINCE 107.130 MOC.
 
The up trend ends below 108.020 SCO SELL STOP LOSS.

The 9 day moving average at 108.020 offers INITIAL SUPPORT and

with NEGATIVE stochastics, CAUTION IS WARRANTED.

A close below 107.280 is negative and WEEKLY CONFIRMATION OF A TOP.

A close above 108.235 is positive and FURTHER HIGHER PRICES ARE POSSIBLE.
 
 
 
DEC CORN CLOSED AT 262.4
 
The trend is up as of 9/19/06 and LONG SINCE 246.4 MOC.
 
The up trend ends below 255.6 SCO SELL STOP LOSS.

The 9 day moving average at 255.6 offers INITIAL SUPPORT and

with POSITIVE stochastics, FURTHER HIGHER PRICES ARE POSSIBLE.

A close below 252.4 is negative and WEEKLY CONFIRMATION OF A TOP.

A close above 267.6 is positive and FURTHER HIGHER PRICES ARE POSSIBLE.
 
 
 
MARCH SOYBEANS CLOSED AT 573
 
The trend is down as of 9/29/06 and SHORT SINCE 573 MOC.

The down trend ends above 573 SCO BUY STOP LOSS.

The 9 day moving average at 573 offers INITIAL SUPPORT and

with POSITIVE stochastics, CAUTION IS WARRANTED.

A close below 564.6 is negative and FURTHER LOWER PRICES ARE POSSIBLE.

A close above 579.4 is positive and WEEKLY CONFIRMATION OF A BOTTOM.

The NEw 52 week low was made on 9/12/06 at 563.
 
 
 
DEC SOYMEAL CLOSED AT 163.5
 
The trend is down as of 9/27/06 and SHORT SINCE 161.5 MOC.

The down trend ends above 164 SCO BUY STOP LOSS.

The 9 day moving average at 164 offers INITIAL RESISTANCE and

with NEGATIVE stochastics, FURTHER LOWER PRICES ARE POSSIBLE.

A close below 161.3 is negative and FURTHER LOWER PRICES ARE POSSIBLE.

A close above 165.5 is positive and WEEKLY CONFIRMATION OF A BOTTOM.

The NEW 52 week low was made on 9/13/06 at 158.5.
 
 
 
DEC SOYBEAN OIL CLOSED AT 24.24
 
The trend is down as of 9/19/06 at 24.55 MOC.
 
The down trend ends above 24.33 SCO BUY STOP LOSS.

The 9 day moving average at 24.33 offers INITIAL RESISTANCE and

with NEGATIVE stochastics, FURTHER LOWER PRICES ARE POSSIBLE.

A close below 23.80 is negative and FURTHER LOWER PRICES ARE POSSIBLE.

A close above 24.58 is positive and WEEKLY CONFIRMATION OF A BOTTOM.
 
 
 
DEC E - MINI S&P CLOSED AT 1345.50
 
The trend is up as of 9/25/06 and LONG SINCE 1335.75 MOC.
 
The up trend ends below 1338.47 SCO SELL STOP LOSS.
 
The 9 day moving average at 1338.47 offers INITIAL SUPPORT and

with POSITIVE stochastics, FURTHER HIGHER PRICES ARE POSSIBLE.

A close below 1321.50 is negative and WEEKLY CONFIRMATION OF A TOP.

A close above 1350.50 is positive and FURTHER HIGHER PRICES ARE POSSIBLE.

The NEW 52 week high was made on 1350.50.

 
 
DECEMBER GOLD CLOSED AT 604.9
 
The trend is up as of 9/25/06 and LONG SINCE 595.9 MOC.
 
The up trend ends below 596 SCO SELL STOP LOSS.

The 18 day moving average at 599.9 offers INTERMEDIATE RESISTANCE and

with POSITIVE stochastics, FURTHER HIGHER PRICES ARE POSSIBLE.

A close below 587.5 is negative and WEEKLY CONFIRMATION OF A TOP.

A close above 612.4 is positive and FURTHER HIGHER PRICES ARE POSSIBLE.

 
 
DEC SILVER CLOSED AT 11.540
 
The trend is up as of 9/22/06 and LONG SINCE 11.310 MOC.
 
The up trend ends below 11.381 SCO SELL STOP LOSS.

The 18 day moving average at 11.518 offers INTERMEDIATE SUPPORT and

with POSITIVE stochastics, FURTHER HIGHER PRICES ARE POSSIBLE.

A close below 11.130 is negative and WEEKLY CONFIRMATION OF A TOP.

A close above 11.860 is positive and FURTHER HIGHER PRICES ARE POSSIBLE.
 
 
 
DEC COTTON CLOSED AT 50.45
 
The trend is down as of 9/27/06 and SHORT SINCE 52.21 MOC.

The down trend ends above 51.80 SCO BUY STOP LOSS.

The 9 day moving average at 51.80 offers INITIAL RESISTANCE and

with NEGATIVE stochastics, FURTHER LOWER PRICES ARE POSSIBLE.

A close below 50.00 is negative and FURTHER LOWER PRICES ARE POSSIBLE.

A close above 52.90 is positive and WEEKLY CONFIRMATION OF A TOP.
 
 
 
DEC COFFEE CLOSED AT 107.65
 
The trend is up as of 9/22/02 and LONG SINCE 104.45 MOC.
 
The up trend ends below 105.40 SCO SELL STOP LOSS.

The 40 day moving average at 107.40 offers MAJOR SUPPORT and

with POSITIVE stochastics, FURTHER HIGHER PRICES ARE POSSIBLE.

A close below 102.00 is negative and WEEKLY CONFIRMATION OF A TOP.

A close above 108.60 is positive and FURTHER HIGHER PRICES ARE POSSIBLE.
 
 
 
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING COMMODITY FUTURES MAY BE SUBSTANTIAL. ONLY RISK CAPITAL SHOULD BE USED FOR SUCH INVESTMENTS. HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM.
 
Larry Swing, President
MCTS Capital Strategies, Inc., (CTA)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Discuss this article in the forum.

...thanks for the trust you've shown in MrSwing .

by
Larry Swing
May the swing be with you...
visit FutureSwings

Signals are generated & published daily before market opens based on closing prices & daily statistics. Account trades one FUTURES contract per $25,000 investment.All signals are entered Market On Close (MOC) or Stop Close Only (SCO).

*All Hypothetical #'s & narratives assume profit is taken out at the end of each year. Reinvesting profits would lead to larger gains.

Narratives by Year & in Total

In total from 2003-2006, an initial investment of $25,000 earned $121,797 profit, to end the 4-year period with an account value of $146,797, for a total gain of 487,2% & an average annual gain of 121,8%. The average monthly gain (in 4 years) was 10,1%.

In 2006, an initial investment of $25,000 earned $21,717 profit, with a YTD account value of $46,717, a YTD gain of 86,9% & an annualized gain of 86,9%, at a run rate to more than double the initial investment. The average monthly gain YTD is 7,2%.

In 2005, an initial investment of $25,000 earned $10,682 profit, to end the year with an account value of $35,682, an annual gain of 42,7%. The average monthly gain was 3,6%.

In 2004, an initial investment of $25,000 earned $30,080 profit, to end the year with an account value of $55,080, an annual gain of 120,3%, again more than doubling the initial investment. The average monthly gain was 10%.

In 2003, an initial investment of $25,000 earned $59,318 profit, to end the year with an account value of $84,318, an annual gain of 237,3%, more than tripling the initial investment. The average monthly gain was 19,8%.

 

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Please have MrSwing's Team contact me
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DISCLAIMER: INDIVIDUAL ACCOUNT PERFORMANCE RESULTS MAY VARY DUE TO A VARIETY OF FACTORS, TO INCLUDE STARTING DATE, ACCOUNT SIZE, COMMISSIONS, PASS-THROUGH FEES, SLIPPAGE & OTHER FACTORS.

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING COMMODITY FUTURES MAY BE SUBSTANTIAL. ONLY RISK CAPITAL SHOULD BE USED FOR SUCH INVESTMENTS. HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM.

ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.

 

© Copyright 2007 by MrSwing.com

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