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Kicker Candlestick Pattern

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Larry Swing President of mrswing.com

Larry Swing is the President of the popular day and swing trading site www.mrswing.com a place where you can find free daily articles and videos covering education, market analysis and picks from Larry and other well known traders in the industry.

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Mar 2, 2008 - A "kicker" is sometimes referred to as the most powerful candlestick pattern of all...


The Kicker Formula



The Kicker Signal can be easily formulated for search purposes. The position of the signal, in a trend, is not important. The important factor is that a severe change in investor sentiment has occurred. Because the Kicker signal is a two-day signal, two opposite elements are required. First, in a Bullish Kicker Signal, the predominant trend should have been downward. The first day of the signal would have opened, traded down, then closed lower than where it opened.


(OPEN1 > CLOSE1)

Day two should have opened equal to or above the open of day one and then closed higher than the open of day two.


AND (OPEN => OPEN1) AND (CLOSE > OPEN)

Do not let the magnitude of a kicker reversal signal deter you from making the trade. The announcement or event that created the Kicker signal in that stock is not going to be a one-day affair. It has reversed the direction of investor sentiment. That was the surprise in which the investment community reversed its outlook. The big percentage move, that first day before you got in, is just a small part of the rest of the move.

Many investors will mistakenly wait for the price to pull back so that they can get in. The candlestick investor does not want to see a pullback. The buyers should maintain their buying to make this trade a strong one. To wait for a pullback is not the buying pressure that you would want for a strong up-move stock.

The Bearish Kicker Pattern has the opposite formulas. Of course the trend should be in a predominantly upward direction. Usually a bad news announcement will send the stock price crashing. The formula should be


(OPEN1 < CLOSE1)

The open on the following day is equal to or lower than the open of the previous day and continues down, closing lower than the open.


AND (OPEN <= OPEN1) AND (CLOSE <= OPEN)

The more overbought when the signal started, the better. Again, the magnitude of the reversal is directly related to the strength that should be conveyed in the remaining portion of the new trend. Do not be afraid to participate in the move despite the magnitude of the initial move. Because the news was a surprise, it will take at least a few days, if not much longer, for the investment community to digest and assess the ramifications of the surprise.

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by Larry Swing
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Disclaimer:

Please note that charts and commentary provided by the moderator are for educational purposes only. Any trades placed upon reliance on the moderator’s charts or information is taken at your own risk for your own account. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. While there is great potential for reward trading stocks, futures and options, there is also substantial risk of loss and you must decide your own suitability to trade. Future trading results can never be guaranteed. This is not an offer to buy or sell stock, futures, options or commodity interests.

Most trading systems are based on historical formulas which have worked in the past. However, what has happened before may or may not happen again. You can lose all your money trading stocks, futures, and options and you must decide your own suitability as to whether or not to trade. Only trade with true risk capital you can afford to lose. Only trade markets you can properly afford to trade. Properly funded trading accounts typically perform better than those that are not. Never risk more than 2-3% of your account on any one trade. Always define your risk before entering a trade and place a stop to limit your risk.

There are no guarantees or certainties in trading. Trading involves hard work, risk, discipline and the ability to follow rules and trade through any tough periods during a system’s draw downs. If you are looking for a guarantee, trading is probably not for you. Most people lose money trading. One of the reasons is that they lack discipline and are unable to be consistent. A system can help you become consistent. Ironically, worrying about the monetary aspect of trading can contribute to and cause a trader to make trading errors. Therefore, it is important to only trade with true risk capital.

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