Menzie Chinn Articles

Forecasted GDP in the New Year

The description of the consensus that growth will resume around mid-year - while...
by Menzie Chinn - Jan 05, 2009 - in Economy

"Trade finance is collapsing"

...said Victor K. Fung, the chairman of the Li & Fung Group, the giant supply chain...
by Menzie Chinn - Jan 02, 2009 - in Economy

Aggregate Demand and Finance and the Collapse in Trade

From "Trade-Finance Pinch Hurts the Healthy," WSJ, 12/22/08: The global financial...
by Menzie Chinn - Dec 30, 2008 - in Economy

"Stuff Happens": the Bush Administration's Economic Stewardship

As we near the end of the year, and the end of eight years of Bush economic policy,...
by Menzie Chinn - Dec 26, 2008 - in Economy

ZIRP and the exchange rate...and other macro variables

Several months ago, I discussed the implications of a model of the exchange rate...
by Menzie Chinn - Dec 23, 2008 - in Economy

Credit Crunch or Not

One of the debates regarding the current financial crisis is whether in fact there...
by Menzie Chinn - Dec 19, 2008 - in Economy

Incipient Chinese Yuan Depreciation in Context

Plenty of breathless commentary on how Chinese yuan depreciation against the dollar...
by Menzie Chinn - Dec 12, 2008 - in Economy

Real Change...

...is repudiation of the no-nothing-ness of the past...
by Menzie Chinn - Dec 08, 2008 - in Economy

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