We've discussed this many times in the past [Jan 21: A Tour Through the Middle East] and as I wrote in January
While we wring our collective hands about how the infrastructure companies are going to lose all their business as crude drops from $100 to $75, and projects will be cancelled due to their rich customers actually giving a rat's behind if crude is $100 or $75 let's take a look at reality. I noticed a story in the NY Times this weekend on Saudi Arabia - so I'd like to overlay that with just a snapshot of what is going on in some of the other countries in this part of the world - the Kuwaits, the Oman's, the Abu Dhabi's, the Qatar's....
... because perhaps I think most of us still are very inward looking as Americans and do not realize what is truly going on in this globe. I keep returning to the theme of this transfer of wealth - each day we become more of a debtor nation and our wealth is being transferred out. Only to return to buy our assets from beneath us (and not just banks). If not with imports (to Asia) than with the "great tax" that is petrol. A "tax" on all of us, and our country as a whole. Instead of devoting resources to stop taxing ourselves, we just give lip service or misguided pushes into corn ethanol of all things. We just don't seem too worried about it, because it's a creeping problem - it's incremental, like erosion (or inflation). I would like to highlight we are in a global economic 'competition', but there seems to be very little awareness of this from 'leadership'. Thankfully, we have some of the most financially innovative institutions to lead us through this.... errr, wait. Never mind that. But that's neither here nor there as an investor; I'll let others argue about the implications - I have my views, but I am just trying to make money off the trends. But I do have to say, it is interesting to see an over reaching national vision proposed by many of these "3rd world" countries 'leadership' - something we used to do here... but I guess you need money to do any large scale projects; along with a government that can actually pass something useful and not only in self interest.
Now as with all good booms (as we see in Asia and the Middle East) there is no clean situation - there will be intermittent booms and mini-busts, but I am speaking to the greater long term trend here. Specific to the Middle East, it appears this go around, as opposed to the 70s, the countries realize that their oil reserves are not unlimited and this time they are reinvesting the monies in ways that can leverage today's riches into future rewards. Maybe they'll succeed, maybe they won't, but they seem intent on trying.
I'd recommend clicking the link I posted to the January story and taking a view of some of the pictures as well - it really pays to educate yourself so when the talking heads talk about the end of this or that boom because the dollar rallies 2% you can feel the confidence to simply chuckle at them, instead of making the mistake of actually listening to their old world view. We are selling off America piece by piece to sustain our addiction.