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Guesstimates on October 14, 2008
Oct 14, 2008

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Carl Futia

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Spiders - September S&P  E-mini Futures:  The e-minis have nearly reached the 1060 target. The next big move will be downward to 900 or so. I think there is a good chance that the 837 low will hold for quite a while, but even if it doesn’t the 810 level probably will. 

QQQ: The 37.50 level looks like pretty strong resistance.  From there a drop to 31 is likely.


TLT - December Bonds: I think a big drop is underway in the bonds. It should carry the market back to 111 or lower. 

December 10 Year Notes: The notes are now headed for the 110-111 zone. 

Euro-US Dollar: The Euro should rally back to 139 or so. 

Dollar-Yen: My revised 99.00 target has been reached. I think this market will stabilize and the yen will soon begin a big rally. Short term resistance is now at 104.00. 

XLE - OIH - USO – November Crude: Downside target at 75 was nearly reached Friday. I expect crude oil to begin stabilizing but 75 is still likely soon. Resistance above the market is now at 88.00.   

GLD - December Gold: Gold still has resistance at 935.  I think gold will soon drop to 600. 

SLV - December Silver: Resistance is at 1390. Next downside target is 900.   

Google: Google has rallied past 380 but I think 405 is likely to be the top of this swing. Next move will be downward to 330 or so.  


by Carl Futia (CarlFutia.com)

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