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Guesstimates on February 3, 2009
Feb 03, 2009

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Carl Futia

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March S&P  E-mini Futures:  I thing the e-minis will break out over the 830 level today. If this happens on increasing volume we shall have a solid indication that the reaction from last week’s 876 high is over.


QQQ: Support below the market is at 26.50. Strength above 30.00 will mean that the Q’s are headed for 34.00. 

March Bonds: The bonds have dropped into the 126-27 target zone. The next big move in this market should be upward. Any significant weakness below 125 will mean that a bear market is underway.   

March 10 Year Notes: The notes have yet to reach our 120 target. We think a substantial rally is imminent, but weakness below 120 would mean that a bear market is underway.   

Euro-US Dollar: The euro has traded sideways for several days after dropping as low as 127.50.  I think a rally to 137 or so is underway. 

Dollar-Yen: I think the 87.50 level will hold and that a rally to 100.00 is underway. 

March Crude: The 50.00 level is resistance and I think March crude will drop down into the 30-35 zone.

GLD – April Gold: The market nearly reached the 935 resistance level Friday. At this juncture a drop below 870 will mean that a move down into the 550-600 range is underway.

SLV - March Silver: Silver has rallied to resistance at 1250. I think the next big move will carry this market downward to 650.

Google: Resistance stands at 375. I think that its drop from 747 is over. 


by Carl Futia (CarlFutia.com)

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